July 2025 almond position report shows flat exports, lower domestic shipments

The Almond Board of California’s July 2025 position report marks the close of the 2024-25 crop year with total shipments reaching 2.65 billion pounds, down 1.7% from the previous year. While export shipments remained steady at 1.98 billion pounds, a 0.6% increase year-over-year, domestic shipments fell 7.8% to 671 million pounds.

Receipts for the 2024-25 crop year totaled 2.71 billion pounds, up 10.9% from the prior year. Total supply reached 3.16 billion pounds, just 1.1% lower than last season, and the forecasted carryout is set at 550 million pounds.

Commitments and inventory

As of July, total commitments stood at 215.5 million pounds, down 9.3% from last year. Domestic commitments dropped 30.4%, while export commitments increased 17.8%. Uncommitted inventory totaled 267.9 million pounds, up 11.7% from the prior year.

Regional shipment highlights

In export markets, growth was strongest in Southeast Asia, up 25% year-to-date, with notable gains in Vietnam and Malaysia. India remained the largest single export destination, with shipments totaling more than 423 million pounds, up 6% from last year. Western Europe saw a 1% gain overall, though Spain, Germany and Greece recorded declines.

Middle East shipments increased 5% year-to-date, with strong growth to Jordan and Saudi Arabia offsetting declines in the United Arab Emirates and Lebanon. Shipments to North Africa fell 22%, led by decreases to Morocco and Libya.

Quality and production notes

The industry’s inedible rate for the year was 3.09%, with variety-specific rates ranging from under 1% for Peerless to nearly 14% for Independence. Nonpareil remained the top variety, representing 40.8% of total receipts at 1.1 billion pounds.

In a supplemental report, the Almond Board noted that total almond tree fruit production, including hulls and shells, reached 8.75 billion pounds in 2024-25. Hulls accounted for 49% of this total, shells for 20% and edible kernels for 31%.

The next position report will be released in mid-September, offering an early look at the 2025–26 crop year.