Sep 8, 2025California walnut forecast projects 18% increase for 2025 crop
The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) has forecast California’s 2025 walnut production at 710,000 tons, an 18% increase from last year’s crop. The announcement, released Sept. 4, estimates bearing acreage at 365,000 acres, down 1% from 2024.
The annual Objective Measurement Report provides the industry with a data-based forecast using scientific methodologies. USDA field staff evaluated thousands of walnuts across major growing regions in July and August, collecting measurements and weights to develop the estimate.
Robert Verloop, executive director and CEO of the California Walnut Board and Commission, said the report aligns with industry expectations.
“The estimate of 710,000 tons is in-line with what the industry was projecting,” Verloop said in a release. “Combined with virtually being sold out of the 2024 crop, the industry is well positioned to start shipping new harvest California walnuts immediately, providing seller and buyer confidence and stable markets.”
In addition to the production forecast, the industry is nearing the close of the 2024 crop year. Early evaluations suggest it will be one of the lowest unsold carry-in inventory volumes in years, with most of that expected to move before the new crop ships.
Verloop emphasized that walnut quality is strong heading into harvest.
“Moreover, walnut quality is exceptional, the result of careful farming, ideal spring and summer conditions and replenished soil moisture, with a consistent nut set,” he said in the release. “Growers have been opening walnuts and have commented that the walnut kernels are completely filling the shells and have exceptionally light color for this time of the year. This crop may exceed the excellent quality we have seen in the last two years. I think international markets will be very pleased.”
Harvest begins in September with early varieties and may extend into November, ensuring nuts are collected at peak quality.
Looking ahead, the California Walnut Board and Commission continues to focus on growing long-term demand by promoting new uses and increased consumption of walnuts both domestically and abroad.
